Volume of data available

more data is often more helpful, offering greater opportunity for exploratory data analysis, model testing and tuning, and model fidelity.

Required time horizon of predictions

shorter time horizons are often easier to predict — with higher confidence — than longer ones.

Forecast update frequency

Forecasts might need to be updated frequently over time or might need to be made once and remain static (updating forecasts as new information becomes available often results in more accurate predictions).

Forecast temporal frequency

Often forecasts can be made at lower or higher frequencies, which allows harnessing downsampling and up-sampling of data (this in turn can offer benefits while modeling).






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Our Services

What We Do?

The website will help you to predict various future outcomes without having to worry about the process behind it. Just provide us with the data and let the ML model do the magic to give you results in the website itself. You won’t have to download different softwares and packages to accomplish this task. All you need is a computer and a working internet connection.

Data preparation

Data preparation is the process of transforming raw data so that data scientists and analysts can run it through machine learning algorithms to uncover insights or make predictions.

Time Series Decomposition

Series is assumed as a combination of level, trend, seasonality, and noise components. It provides useful abstract model for better understanding problems during analysis and forecasting.

Modeling

Data modeling is the process of analyzing and defining all the different data your business collects and produces, as well as the relationships between those bits of data.

Forecasting

A forecast is a prediction made by studying historical data and past patterns. Businesses use software tools and systems to analyze large amounts of data collected over a long period.

Model Evaluation

Model evaluation is the process of using different evaluation metrics to understand a machine learning model's performance, as well as its strengths and weaknesses.

Parameter Tuning

We perform model hyperparameter tuning to ensure good results from our machine learning model and data. We can choose from three hyperparameter tuning methods — grid search, random search, and Bayesian optimization.

Work

Successful Projects

The use cases of our model are immense and can greatly impact society if used correctly.

Team

Team Members

Every brand needs teamwork to build growth and reputation in the community. The total work done by us as team is far more than what one can individually accomplish.

Kartik Srivastava

Backend Engineer

Rudransh Bansal

Fullstack Engineer

Panshul Saxena

Frontend Developer

Blog

Blog Posts

We keep on updating to new technologies that will increase the accuracy of the model prediction. We keep on updating different methods of fitting algorithms we use on different datasets across the diverse raw data we recieve as input from the customers.

ARIMA
12 Mar, 2022
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)

The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method models the next step in the sequence as a linear function of the differenced observations and residual errors at prior time steps. It combines both Autoregression (AR) and Moving Average (MA) models as well as a differencing pre-processing step of the sequence to make the sequence stationary, called integration (I).

VARIMA
18 June, 2022
Vector Autoregression Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (VARMAX)

The Vector Autoregression Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (VARMAX) is an extension of the VARMA model that also includes the modeling of exogenous variables. It is a multivariate version of the ARMAX method.

HWES
04 Sept, 2022
Holt Winter’s Exponential Smoothing (HWES)

The Holt Winter’s Exponential Smoothing (HWES) also called the Triple Exponential Smoothing method models the next time step as an exponentially weighted linear function of observations at prior time steps, taking trends and seasonality into account. The method is suitable for univariate time series with trend and/or seasonal components.

Time series analysis comprises methods for analyzing time series data in order to extract meaningful statistics and other characteristics of the data. Time series forecasting is the use of a model to predict future values based on previously observed values. While regression analysis is often employed in such a way as to test relationships between one or more different time series, this type of analysis is not usually called "time series analysis", which refers in particular to relationships between different points in time within a single series. Interrupted time series analysis is used to detect changes in the evolution of a time series from before to after some intervention which may affect the underlying variable.

There are two sets of conditions under which much of the theory is built:
  • Stationary process
  • Ergodic process
Ergodicity implies stationarity, but the converse is not necessarily the case. Stationarity is usually classified into strict stationarity and wide-sense or second-order stationarity. Both models and applications can be developed under each of these conditions, although the models in the latter case might be considered as only partly specified. In addition, time-series analysis can be applied where the series are seasonally stationary or non-stationary. Situations where the amplitudes of frequency components change with time can be dealt with in time-frequency analysis which makes use of a time–frequency representation of a time-series or signal.

Models for time series data can have many forms and represent different stochastic processes. When modeling variations in the level of a process, three broad classes of practical importance are the autoregressive (AR) models, the integrated (I) models, and the moving average (MA) models. These three classes depend linearly on previous data points.Combinations of these ideas produce autoregressive moving average (ARMA) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. The autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) model generalizes the former three. Extensions of these classes to deal with vector-valued data are available under the heading of multivariate time-series models and sometimes the preceding acronyms are extended by including an initial "V" for "vector", as in VAR for vector autoregression. An additional set of extensions of these models is available for use where the observed time-series is driven by some "forcing" time-series (which may not have a causal effect on the observed series): the distinction from the multivariate case is that the forcing series may be deterministic or under the experimenter's control. For these models, the acronyms are extended with a final "X" for "exogenous".

Models for time series data can have many forms and represent different stochastic processes. When modeling variations in the level of a process, three broad classes of practical importance are the autoregressive (AR) models, the integrated (I) models, and the moving average (MA) models. These three classes depend linearly on previous data points.Combinations of these ideas produce autoregressive moving average (ARMA) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. The autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) model generalizes the former three. Extensions of these classes to deal with vector-valued data are available under the heading of multivariate time-series models and sometimes the preceding acronyms are extended by including an initial "V" for "vector", as in VAR for vector autoregression. An additional set of extensions of these models is available for use where the observed time-series is driven by some "forcing" time-series (which may not have a causal effect on the observed series): the distinction from the multivariate case is that the forcing series may be deterministic or under the experimenter's control. For these models, the acronyms are extended with a final "X" for "exogenous".